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Saturday, July 31, 2004

The July Surprise- Ahmed Khalfan Ghailani..Osama in October?

On july 08, we posted this entry.

October Suprise ...July Suprise..or both?

The New Republic has an article July Suprise, posted on it's website. Link The article was written by John B. Judis, Spencer Ackerman & Massoud Ansari. According to the article, sources who work in Pakistans Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI) relate that the Bush administration is putting heavy pressure on the Pakistanis to either kill or capture High Value Targets (HVT) by the November elections. High ranking al Qaeda members , including Osama bin Laden and Ayman al Zawahiri are believed to be living inside of Pakistan's borders.

A third source, an official who works under ISI's director, Lieutenant General Ehsan ul-Haq, informed tnr that the Pakistanis "have been told at every level that apprehension or killing of HVTs before [the] election is [an] absolute must." What's more, this source claims that Bush administration officials have told their Pakistani counterparts they have a date in mind for announcing this achievement: "The last ten days of July deadline has been given repeatedly by visitors to Islamabad and during [ul-Haq's] meetings in Washington." Says McCormack: "I'm aware of no such comment." But according to this ISI official, a White House aide told ul-Haq last spring that "it would be best if the arrest or killing of [any] HVT were announced on twenty-six, twenty-seven, or twenty-eight July"--the first three days of the Democratic National Convention in Boston.

The article details some of the recent quid pro quo's between the Bush administration, gives some of the political considerations that would compel the Bushies and Pakistan to orchestrate a "July/October Suprise and expounds on how both would benefit from such a calculated stunt.
None of these scenarios may come to pass, but does anyone familar with the machinations of the Bushies doubt they would actually try to pull this off?

On thursday, hours before John Kerry's Democratic National Convention Speech, and FOUR DAYS AFTER the fact, Pakistan's interior minister, Faisal Saleh Hayyat, announced the capture of one Ahmed Khalfan Ghailani.

This is how the AP article went out.

Pakistan arrests al-Qaeda suspect wanted in 1998 embassy bombings
By Paul Haven

2:27 p.m. July 29, 2004

ISLAMABAD, Pakistan – Pakistan has arrested a Tanzanian al-Qaeda suspect wanted by the United States in the 1998 bombings at U.S. embassies in Kenya and Tanzania, the interior minister said Friday. He said the suspect was cooperating and had given authorities "very valuable" information. Advertisement

Ahmed Khalfan Ghailani – who is on the FBI's list of 22 most wanted terrorists, with a reward of up to $25 million on his head – was arrested Sunday in the eastern city of Gujrat along with at least 15 other people, Interior Minister Faisal Saleh Hayyat told The Associated Press.

Was this all a coincidence? The New Republic article quoted Pakistani intelligence officers who claimed they were being pressured to present a "high value" al Qaeda operative during the Democratic National Convention. Ahmed Ghailani's capture is then announced on the very day of John Kerry's speech. Could it all be eerie timing or unexplained foresight by the staff of the New Republic?Interesting questions to ponder but ones not being asked by many U.S media outfits.

We'll leave it to the World News to speculate.
World News > Washington, July 31 :
Speculation is rife in political and media circles here that Pakistan timed the announcement of the arrest of Al Qaeda suspect, Ahmed Khalfan Ghailani to suit President George Bush.

An article in the New Republic magazine this month claims that a White House aide had told the Director-General of Pakistan's Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI), Lt. General Ehsan-ul-Haq, that Islamabad should capture or kill Al Qaeda chief Osama bin Laden and other suspects before the US presidential elections in November, reports the Daily Times.

A source close to Haq was further quoted as saying that he (Haq) was told that the best days to announce the killing or capture of any target would be July 26, 27 or 28, the first three days of the Democratic National Convention in Boston.

A further comment posted on a web site said: "If this is what was offered in July, just wait for November, the presidential election month," referring to Pakistan President Pervez Musharraf's statement last Friday that Ghailani was arrested on Sunday (July 25).

The question now being asked is why did the Musharraf regime take another four days to formally announce the arrest full article

Will Osama enter the scene in October?


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